The model also provides a separate interactive web-based tool, NC Nursing Graduate Diffusion that allows users to see where students in North CarolinaвЂ™s nurse training programs practice after graduating.

The NC Nursecast team used historic state nurse licensure data, North Carolina Office of Budget and Management population data, population survey data on health and medical visits and an expert advisory group to create the model. вЂњExpanding enrollment in nursing programs is important but we also must focus on retention вЂ“ cherishing our existing workforce - and recruiting nurses back into the profession,вЂќ she said.

Recruiting and retaining nurses is key to addressing the nurse shortages, said Erin Fraher, deputy director of policy at the Sheps Center. Yet the state faced a shortage of nurses before the pandemic began: shortages of 12,500 registered nurses вЂ“ about 11% of the RN workforce - and 5,000 licensed practical nurses вЂ“ about 27% of the LPN workforce вЂ“ projected by 2033. The launch of the model comes at a critical time for nurses who have shown tremendous commitment to care during the coronavirus pandemic. The projection about the future supply and demand of nurses is included in NC Nursecast, a workforce model developed over two years with support from the North Carolina Board of Nursing. Sheps Center Program on Health Workforce Research and Policy projects a looming nursing shortage in North Carolina. A new workforce model developed by the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Cecil G.

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